Macro Research Digest: H2 2026, First Edition

Overview

A curated synthesis of lucabindi.com's first twelve Macro Research publications: US and Euro Area macro baselines, fiscal trajectory, inflation regimes, yield curves, NIIP and external balance sheets, G4 growth divergence, reserve diversification, and the platform's two recurring monitors (Global Liquidity, Central Bank Balance Sheets). Each finding is evidence-first and independently sourced from the platform's own canonical data.

Contents

1. The United States, in Full: A Data-Driven Macro Baseline
2. Country Risk: United States
3. Country Risk: Euro Area Core
4. Reserve Diversification: Gold, Not Renminbi
5. US Fiscal Trajectory: Debt, Deficit, and What the Data Actually Implies
6. Understanding Inflation Regimes
7. Yield Curves Across Developed Markets
8. NIIP: Why External Balance Sheets Matter
9. Growth Divergence Across the G4
10. Global Liquidity Monitor: Launch Edition
11. Central Bank Balance Sheet Watch: Launch Edition